Publications and technical papers
Maps, data and research › Economic and land use forecasting › Publications and technical papers
Choose from scholarly papers to spreadsheet databases on topics ranging from regional economic conditions and demographic trends, to population forecasting and modeling.
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Regional forecast
Models and model documentation
Technical studies
Regional forecast
- 2005 – 2060 Regional Population and Employment Forecast, public review draft 2, May 19, 2008 (PDF)
To begin the regional growth management discussion, Metro has developed this long-range population and employment forecast. Metro, the three counties and local governments are engaged in a collaborative planning process through which they will refine the long-range population and employment forecast and allocate 30 years of the forecasted growth to various locations in the region. - 2000-30 Regional Forecast (PDF)
This economic report to the Metro Council is the latest in a line of regional economic forecasts presented to the Metro Council for its consideration in its process of reviewing the Metro urban growth boundary and regional transportation planning requirements. - 2009-10 Unified Planning Work Program (PDF)
The Unified Planning Work Program includes the transportation planning activities of Metro and other area governments involved in regional transportation planning activities for the fiscal year of July 1, 2009 through June 30, 2010. - 2010-11 Unified Planning Work Program (PDF)
The Unified Planning Work Program includes the transportation planning activities of Metro and other area governments involved in regional transportation planning activities for the fiscal year of July 1, 2010 through June 30, 2011. - 2011-12 Unified Planning Work Program (PDF)
The Unified Planning Work Program includes the transportation planning activities of Metro and other area governments involved in regional transportation planning activities for the fiscal year of July 1, 2011 through June 30, 2012.
Models and model documentation
- MetroScope Documentation (PDF)
This document provides a set of technical documentation for MetroScope, a set of decision support tools used by Metro to model changes in measures of economic, demographic, land use, and transportation activity. - Metro Regional Economic Model (PDF)
Metro presents its version of a regional economic model with embedded input-output coefficients as explanatory variables in the model's employment sector equations. - MetroScope: The Metro Residential and Nonresidential Real Estate Models (PDF)
This document provides a set of technical documentation for MetroScope, a set of decision support tools used by Metro to model changes in measures of economic, demographic, land use, and transportation activity. - Alternative Futures for Transportation and Land Use – Integrated Models Contrasted with "Trend-Delphi" Methods: The Portland Metro Results (PDF)
Technical studies
- 1997-99 Single Family Homes Sales Price Study (PDF)
Analysis of single family housing price trends, 1997 – 1999. - 1999 Employment Density Study and ZELDA FAQ (PDF)
Answers to frequently asked questions about the 1999 Employment Density Study and the ZELDA (Zonal Employment Land Demand Analysis) model. - 1999 Employment Density Study (PDF)
Job density parameters are estimated by industry and by geographic subareas of the metro region. These job density parameters are in the form of observed FARs and observed building densities (i.e., square-feet of building space per employee). These density parameters are detailed in this report. - Metro Single Family Home Price Trends: Donuts Without Holes and Turnips Without Blood (PDF)
Analysis of single family housing price trends, 1999-2001. Residential Lot Values and the Capital-Land Substitution Parameter Using sales data on recently constructed homes in the Portland Metro area for the years 1996-97, we have examined the effect of lot size on the sales price of detached and attached single family homes. - Regional Industrial Land Study (Phase 2) (PDF)
The RILS report was a cooperative joint effort among several state and local government agencies with funding from private industry trade groups and individual corporations supporting the investigation of buildable industrial land in the greater Portland-Vancouver metropolitan area (sponsored by: Commercial Real Estate Economic Coalition, PGE, NW Natural, Columbia River Economic Development Corporation, State of Oregon, Clackamas County, Portland Development Commission, and Port of Portland). - Regional Industrial Land Study (Phase 1)
This report is available from the Port of Portland. - Regional Industrial Land Study (Phase 3)
This report is available from The Institute of Portland Metropolitan Studies at Portland State University. - Residential Lot Values and the Capital-Land Substitution Parameter (PDF)
Using sales data on recently constructed homes in the Portland Metro area for the years 1996-97, we have examined the effect of lot size on the sales price of detached and attached single family homes. In addition we have used the hedonic equations to construct an estimate of land value from which we were able to calculate a value of the elasticity of capital-land substitution. - Residential Refill Study for 1997 – 98 (PDF)
This study measures the rate of residential refill, which we define as additional building on land that the Regional Land Information System (RLIS) classes as already developed.